You want to find a horse who is mentally and physically able to overcome trouble if the field size gets the better of him. To find the Kentucky Derby winner, you need to analyze more than just a race record. Was the horse under pressure from the rider or moving easily), was any new equipment used, and what was the actual distance of the workout (some trainers will send a horse to work a published 5furlongs but have the rider keep them going at racespeed to work an extra furlong or more). Analysts provide context behind the number printed on the bottom of your Racing Form with the goal of gauging how a horse will perform in his next start.Īlso be sure to look at the overall workout pattern, whether a horse worked in company (and the caliber of the workmate), the quality of the workout (Ie. Be sure to find a service that has workout analysts, not just clockers, anyone can click a stopwatch. If you have never handicapped with one, it will change the way you play the game. Itâ?s important to remember that access to Twitter and an opinion doesnâ?t automatically give someone â?Expertâ? status.Ĭlocking services are readily available as well. You need to find people who have specialist knowledge of racing circuits and patterns, not just information on specific entrants. You have to handicap them too, pedigree and records arenâ?t just for horses. The problem is that unlike used cars, racing experts donâ?t come with a Carfax report. So how are bettors supposed to make decisions in a full field of evenly-matched horses? Well, there are experts out there who can – and will – help you ~ some for a fee, some not. So heâ?s looking at a seven-month campaign (at least) at racingâ?s highest levels to qualify as one of the nationâ?s best before he steps foot into the starting gate on the first Saturday in May. Letâ?s say an owner is lucky and his horse has ability: no horse since Apollo in 1882 has won the Derby without having a juvenile race record. Just because a Thoroughbred is born with the right pedigree and looks, doesnâ?t mean they will automatically make it to the races. According to statistics from the Jockey Club, 21,016 foals were born in the United States in 2012, which means the chance of one being the 2015 Kentucky Derby winner is 0.0048%. What most people donâ?t realize is how truly difficult it is for a horse to make the starting gate on the first Saturday in May. Plus, while it is common for mid-level races around the globe to feature fields of 20-some-odd horses, the average field size in the United States is just under eight horses per race: making the Kentucky Derby the largest single-run field in America. While that number represents a lot of betting opportunities, consider that there were only 463 graded stakes races and only 110 Grade Ones. There were 48,580 races run in North America last year. As much as we want to think â?itâ?s just another raceâ?¦â? It isnâ?t. Unlike any other sport where an athlete can try for a Triple Crown over and over, a horse only has one chance to be three-years-old on the first Saturday in May.īut just as herculean a feat it is for a horse to capture all three jewels of the Triple Crown, horseplayers face the same tough task. This year will see horse racing celebrate the 141st running of the Kentucky Derby, the 140th Preakness Stakes, and 147th Belmont Stakes: and just 11 horses have captured all three. Only 17 drivers have won a single event while competing in all three, and just 1 â? Graham Hill â? has pulled off the near impossible. In terms of other horsepower, to win the Triple Crown of motorsport is to capture Formula 1â?s most important races: the Indianapolis 500, the 24 Hours of Le Mans, and the Monaco Grand Prix. It happens when a player leads the league in three statistical categories and since baseball began in 1838, there have been 17 batters and 38 pitchers that have accomplished this amazing feat. The Triple Crown is the most elusive prize in sports.īaseball has its own Triple Crown.
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